TROPICAL WEATHER MESSAGE Published Sept. 1, 2016 78 OSS Weather Flight ROBINS AIR FORCE BASE, Ga. -- The Robins Weather Flight remains in HURCON 5, Monitoring. Tropical Storm Hermine continues a north-northeast movement through the north central Gulf of Mexico. Some additional strengthening is expected today with the storm making landfall this evening near Carabelle, Florida. NOTE: This event remains VERY FLUID and the weather flight and the NHC are continuously monitoring changing conditions. Situational awareness is key as changes could come quickly based on the actual track of the storm system. Weather impacts for Robins AFB are expected to be in the form of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms beginning late Thursday afternoon/early evening. Overnight and continuing into Friday afternoon, showers and scattered storms are likely as the storm passes to our south-southeast. The wind forecast for Robins at this time calls for a southeast to east wind on Thursday and Thursday night at 10-15 mph (8-13 knots) with gusts as high as 25 mph (20 knots) are expected. Friday, winds will shift to a northeast to north direction at 10-15 mph (8-13 knots) with gusts as high as 40 mph (35 knots). During the period from noon Thursday through sunrise Saturday, Robins-area total storm rainfall amounts are expected to be in the 1.50 to 2.50 inch range with heavier amounts (4-6 inches) likely to the south and southeast of Robins. Flash flooding is possible in favored locations. TEAM ROBINS members and their families that are planning activities in Florida from now through Saturday morning must remain vigilant to possible rapidly changing and potentially dangerous weather conditions. TEAM ROBINS members and their families that are planning activities in southeastern Georgia, eastern South Carolina, and eastern North Carolina from Friday morning through late Saturday afternoon are strongly advised to remain vigilant to changing weather conditions. This message is issued in accordance with RAFBI 15-101, Installation Weather Support.